Chart of the Day: Oil, Inflation Adjusted.
The Big Picture: The Car Dealers Doldrums Indicator.
Econbrowser: Watching housing slide.
Grey shaded areas on all of the above charts are recessions.
Oil prices, car dealer sales, building permits, housing starts, and the yield spread - suggesting the possibility of recession.
Unemployment, corporate profits, the market averages - generally not suggesting recession.
Retail sales - ?
Could go either way, just as Liz Ann Sonders said. (Her case was built on oil, housing, and the yield curve, btw.)